Summary
Eric Levitz: Trump is doing much better than he did four years ago among younger voters. Levitz suggests that this reputation might be helping Trump in particular at the moment. The economy is also looking good for Biden these days, or should be. Inflation has slowed down. Unemployment is historically low.
A Trump victory would be an anomaly, considering the typical advantages of incumbency and the success of presidents running for reelection during periods of economic growth. It would also diverge from the very recent trend of underperformance by candidates associated with Donald Trump. The other thing that has happened in the past two weeks is that the weather finally became “nice” where I live.
